▶Jun 26, 2026Back to Benghazi | Episode 4: The Libyans Who Came for UsWatch episode →Observe
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Clarity in a noisy world.
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▶Jun 26, 2026Back to Benghazi | Episode 4: The Libyans Who Came for UsWatch episode →
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▶Jun 24, 2026In one hour…Watch episode →The operational picture
What deserves your attention.
On the board
Current work
Image: Modern War InstituteModern War Institute
No Place to Hide: Warfare in the Age of Persistent Observation
What Ukraine is revealing about observation, concealment, adaptation, and the assumptions shaping the next war.
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Image: Small Wars JournalSmall Wars Journal
The Signals Before the Storm
What Al-Qaeda’s public behavior can tell us about organizational confidence, strategic warning, and meaningful change.
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U.S. Army Reserve photoHomeland Security Today
Afghanistan’s Resistance Is No Longer Fighting Only the Taliban
Recent fighting suggests sustained resistance pressure is reshaping the Taliban’s military campaign and its use of allied jihadist organizations.
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Kenny Holston / CC BY 2.0Homeland Security Today
Why the Return of Tarnak Farm Matters
The rebuilding of a historic Al-Qaeda institution offers one of the clearest indicators of the organization’s resurgence.
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Image: The DiplomatThe Diplomat
Inside the Taliban’s New Military Formation on the Durand Line
A closer look at the Taliban’s evolving military posture, regional pressure, and the networks shaping the Afghanistan-Pakistan border.
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Image: Eye on TerrorEye on Terror
ISIS and the Dream of Returning to Libya
An examination of the Islamic State’s effort to reposition leadership and revive its operations in Libya.
Read articleNeed to Know
Three ways to read the picture.
This is where I separate the event from the indicator and the headline from what it may mean next.
What changed?
The behavior, movement, relationship, or capability that makes a development worth watching.
Why does it matter?
The history and connections that explain why the signal means more than the headline alone.
What comes next?
The assumptions to test, the gaps to watch, and the decisions that may follow.
Interviews & Appearances
Conversations from other watch floors.
In print
Interview · The European Conservative
Syria’s Al-Qaeda-Linked Regime Targets Kurds in Ethnic Cleansing
An analysis featuring Sarah Adams on the actors, networks, and warning signs surrounding violence against Kurdish communities in Syria.
Read the interviewIn Print · ClearanceJobs
Know Thy Enemy: Former CIA Members Seeking Justice for Benghazi
An interview with Sarah Adams and Dave Benton about the investigation behind Benghazi: Know Thy Enemy and the continuing search for accountability.
Read the interviewPress & Booking
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