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Written assessments from the Watch Floor: what changed, why it matters, and what I am watching next.

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Current work

Recent published work and analysis beyond the Briefing Room.

The 9/11 Files Show America Heard The Warning And Missed The WarCNN via Getty Images

The Daily Wire · Analysis

The 9/11 Files Show America Heard The Warning And Missed The War

Newly declassified 9/11 files show that warnings about Osama bin Laden and attacks inside the U.S. were reaching the highest levels of government years…

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Inside the Taliban Intelligence Operation That Killed Hasib PanjshiriHasib Panjshiri · Wikimedia Commons / CC0

Afghanistan International · Investigation

Inside the Taliban Intelligence Operation That Killed Hasib Panjshiri

A reconstruction of the Taliban intelligence operation that penetrated resistance contacts, tracked Hasib Panjshiri’s movement, and led to the August 20 ambush in Salang.

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Ukraine’s Spy Agencies Just Started Shooting at Each OtherSOFREP / Telegram channel ASTRA via Kyiv Post

SOFREP · Analysis

Ukraine’s Spy Agencies Just Started Shooting at Each Other

A shootout between Ukraine’s SBU and military intelligence exposed something more dangerous than bureaucratic rivalry: a breakdown in operational deconfliction during an active intelligence…

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Congress Just Admitted A Key 9/11 Security Gap RemainsPhoto by Win McNamee/Getty Images

The Daily Wire · Analysis

Congress Just Admitted A Key 9/11 Security Gap Remains

Twenty-five years after 9/11, one of the border-security reforms recommended by the 9/11 Commission remains unfinished: a comprehensive biometric entry-exit system.

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The Next School Shooter May Have A Secret AssistantNazar Abbas Photography via Getty Images

The Daily Wire · Analysis

The Next School Shooter May Have A Secret Assistant

Artificial intelligence is beginning to appear in school attacks and disrupted plots involving young people. The question is when scattered online behavior becomes a…

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Image: Daily Wire

The Daily Wire · Investigation

The Terrorist On Campus

A convicted ISIS supporter returned to Old Dominion University after federal prison. The university never knew his terrorism history until after he attacked an…

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Need to Know

Three ways to read the picture.

This is where I separate the event from the indicator and the headline from what it may mean next.

01 · The signal

What changed?

The behavior, movement, relationship, or capability that makes a development worth watching.

02 · The context

Why does it matter?

The history and connections that explain why the signal means more than the headline alone.

03 · The question

What comes next?

The assumptions to test, the gaps to watch, and the decisions that may follow.

Interviews & Appearances

Conversations from other watch floors.

Recent podcast, television, and video appearances.

In print

Sean Gallup/Getty Images

In Print · The National Desk / Local 12

Former CIA Officer Warns U.S. Shift Leaves Gaps as Al-Qaida Regroups in Afghanistan

Twenty-five years after 9/11, Sarah Adams discusses the danger of counterterrorism gaps as U.S. attention shifts toward great-power competition and al-Qaida rebuilds in Afghanistan.

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Interview · The European Conservative

Syria’s Al-Qaeda-Linked Regime Targets Kurds in Ethnic Cleansing

An analysis featuring Sarah Adams on the actors, networks, and warning signs surrounding violence against Kurdish communities in Syria.

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Prison bars · Jobs For Felons Hub / CC BY 2.0

In Print · Newsmax

Sources: Taliban May Have Set Up Former Afghan Intel Officer

John Rossomando quotes Sarah Adams regarding Jaan Shah Safi, Taliban intelligence reporting to the United States, ISKP, and the danger of Taliban disinformation.

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Benghazi, Libya · NASA/Chris Williams

In Print · ClearanceJobs

Know Thy Enemy: Former CIA Members Seeking Justice for Benghazi

An interview with Sarah Adams and Dave Benton about the investigation behind Benghazi: Know Thy Enemy and the continuing search for accountability.

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