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Afghanistan

Afghanistan after the withdrawal, the Taliban, resistance, terrorist safe haven, and unfinished consequences.

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Briefing work

At the briefing table

Current assessments and intelligence-style work connected to this subject.

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Al-Qaeda Waited Five Years to Release This Hamza bin Laden Content

Al-Qaeda held footage of Hamza bin Laden recorded as Afghanistan was falling in August 2021 and waited more than five years to release it. The timing…

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Abbey Gate: The Twelve Days Before the Bomb

Five years after the Abbey Gate bombing, this brief reconstructs the twelve days before the attack: the authorization, the bomber’s release and movement, the network around…

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Five Years After Kabul, History Is Repeating Itself

Five years after Kabul fell, Afghanistan should not be understood simply as the end of America’s longest war. It marked the beginning of another cycle in…

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The Taliban’s Northern Fault Line

Growing anti-Taliban resistance in northern Afghanistan is doing more than testing the battlefield. It is exposing tensions between the movement’s southern Pashtun leadership and influential Tajik,…

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AQIS Video Assessment: The Ten Seconds That Matter

AQIS released a six-minute video on December 6th titled From Dasht-e-Leili to the Victory of Kabul. Most people will focus on the usual imagery—martyrs, battlefield losses,…

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From Afghanistan to Mogadishu: Hamza bin Laden’s Tactical Plotting — A U.S. Intelligence Blind Spot

Hamza bin Laden, the current leader of Al-Qaeda, continues to direct the group’s plotting and operations from Afghanistan with apparent impunity. Under his leadership, Al-Qaeda has…

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The Formation and Objectives of the Islamic Army

The concept of an "Islamic Army" or "Army of Imam Mahdi" traces back to Osama bin Laden’s vision of uniting global terrorist groups under a singular…

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Shielding Terror: How the Taliban Protects ISKP Leadership

The Taliban has systematically covered up the survival of multiple senior Islamic State-Khorasan (ISKP) figures while staging fake operations that falsely claim to target the group.…

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Duplicity and Misinformation: The Taliban’s Strategy to Garner U.S. Taxpayer Dollars

The U.S. government's acknowledgment of the Taliban's purported counterterrorism efforts against the Islamic State-Khorasan Province (ISKP) has become a cornerstone of its post-withdrawal policy in Afghanistan.…

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Islamic State Facilitates Deals to Relocate Terrorists from Syrian Detention Camps to Afghanistan

Islamic State leadership is interestingly making plans to relocate detainees from several detention camps in northeastern Syria, including the Al-Hol and Al-Roj camps. These plans reflect…

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Strategic Implications of Abandoned U.S. and ISAF Military Bases in Afghanistan

The withdrawal of U.S. and International Security Assistance Forces (ISAF) from Afghanistan in 2021 has left behind a network of military and intelligence bases that offer…

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The Integration of al-Qaeda and the Taliban: A Unified Front

The merging of al-Qaeda and the Taliban into a single, cohesive entity is a reality that U.S. policy and assessments have yet to fully acknowledge. From…

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Research & source work

Go deeper

Investigations, reports, letters, source work, and earlier research that add context.

Investigation / Report

Northern Taliban Target Deck

A visual target deck mapping key non-Pashtun Taliban commanders, their networks, command structures, and foreign-jihadist connections.

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Outside publications

Published elsewhere

Magazine, journal, and outside publication work that belongs on this path.

Published Article · Afghanistan International · Investigation

Inside the Taliban Intelligence Operation That Killed Hasib Panjshiri

A reconstruction of the Taliban intelligence operation that penetrated resistance contacts, tracked Hasib Panjshiri’s movement, and led to the August 20 ambush in Salang.

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The Commons

Put it to work

Practical guidance from The Commons for turning lessons into capability.

Commons Guide

The Gathering Storm: What Communities Carry Forward

A Commons companion to the collaborative book—focused on endurance, service, memory, and what communities owe one another after a long war.

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Books & enduring work

From the shelves

Books, collaborations, and other enduring material that helps round out the subject.

Documentary collaboration · BLINX News

Why Al-Qaeda Killed Ahmad Shah Massoud Before 9/11

Two days before September 11, al-Qaeda assassinated Ahmad Shah Massoud. Sarah joins Ahmad Massoud to examine why his father posed such a threat to al-Qaeda and…

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