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Iran, partner and proxy networks, covert action, strategy, and the regional systems that connect them.
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The fighting around the Strait of Hormuz and Washington’s new Venezuela oil agreement look like separate stories. Viewed through energy security, they are part of the same problem: reducing the risk created by the world’s most important oil chokepoint.
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Current assessments and intelligence-style work connected to this subject.
As of this week, the United States and Iran are operating under an interim memorandum of understanding reached following the 2026 conflict. Despite some headlines suggesting…
Read briefWe are at a consequential moment. Credible indicators suggest Ali Khamenei is likely dead, creating a destabilizing shock within the Iranian regime. Leadership transitions in hardline…
Read briefIRGC Unit 840 is a secretive part of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps that mixes intelligence, proxies, and criminal networks to carry out covert operations around…
Read briefIran is experiencing one of the most widespread and sustained protest waves in recent years. Beginning in late December 2025, demonstrations quickly expanded from isolated shop…
Read briefToday, on the one-year anniversary of the October 7th, 2023, attacks in Israel, the profound implications of this tragedy become increasingly clear. The attacks, executed by…
Read briefOn July 30, 2024, senior Hezbollah military commander Fuad Shukr aka Hajj Mohsin was killed in an Israeli airstrike on a residential building in a Hezbollah…
Read briefWho, you ask? Let's explain. On June 5, 2024, the U.S. Embassy in Awker (Beirut), Lebanon, was surprised by an armed assault carried out by terrorist…
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